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December 11, 2006

itms

Stock blogger should stick to stock in trade

Authored by Dan Moren at 9:16 PM
Category | Music » iTMS
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Music ThiefHere’s another oft-repeated fallacy that needs to be quashed: iPod owners are thieves. The latest allegation comes from Blogging Stocks writer Matthew Himler. As evidence, Himler cites a Forrester Research report showing lackluster sales for the iTunes Store. Unfortunately, he doesn’t seem to have read the details closely. Here’s what he somewhat confusingly reports:

Forrester Research issued a report last week declaring that the 3% of households that have purchased music from iTunes store spent a total of $35 for the year [emphasis added], and half of them spent only $3 or less at a single time.
Besides the confusing wording, the statement above is also inaccurate. I looked up the actual report (or the abstract for it, since I don’t have $249 to shell out for a 14-page paper). Here’s what it says:
Forrester’s recent analysis of more than 2,700 US iTunes debit and credit card transactions reveals that 3% of online households made an iTunes purchase in the past year. Apple’s iTunes proves that $0.99 micropayments for digital music can lead to substantial revenue; buyers spent an average of $35 [emphasis added] at iTunes over the past year…With half of all transactions costing $3 or less…
It’s been a while since I took statistics, but as I recall, there is a bit of a difference between a total of $35 and an average of $35.

Himler continues on with foggy assertions, speculating where-oh-where these iPod users get their music:

My best guess is through the illegal peer-to-peer networks, which continue to give the music industry its biggest challenge to greater profitability.
Notably absent is any mention of probably the biggest source of music for iPod owners: CDs that they already own.

I don’t find it hard to believe that the majority of iTunes users don’t spend a lot on music (taking the crazy $8000 guy as an outlier); I haven’t bought music from the iTunes store in over a year—then again, I’m not a big music customer in the first place. Still, I do know people who use the store quite heavily, and Apple has moved over a billion songs.

Forrester asserts that since half of the purchases are under $3, the credit-card transaction fees could quickly make iTunes “unprofitable.” That said, Apple’s Q4 financials reported that the store was running above break-even. Either way, it’s little excuse for calling iPod owners thieves.


Comments

How quickly we forget the most popular method of music distribution.

It drives me nuts when people make assumptions like this. I have approx. 4+ GB of music on my iPod. I would say that less than 1 GB of that is iTunes-purchased tracks. *Everything else* came from CDs that I've owned-- some as far back as 1995 [I know that was only 11 years ago-- and I was only about 12 at the time].

First Universal pitches enough of a fit to demand $1 from every Zune [giggle] sold, and now this.

The Music industry must be absolutely killing themselves over the "fair use" provisions. Fair to whom? The problem they have is twofold - CD's are durable and the music is high quality (i.e. no re-purchasing incentive like VHS->DVD->HD/Blu DVD). Furthermore, CD ripping with iTunes is so simple and of a (user controlled) quality sufficient for any purpose.

They badly need an innovation with music purchases which will motivate people to ditch CD and re-purchase. Naturally it (anything new) will have "friendly" DRM. The answer lies in music video (somewhere).

-- Happy iTunes user who has all his 150 old CDs ripped to iPod but who resents the 200 casette tapes that havn't made the jump.


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